Lawrence North
Boys - Girls
1999 - 2000 - 2001
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State Rank #4
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit I Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 11.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 72.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 96.4%
Advance to State Finals 99.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
32  Nef Araia 10 16:20
41  Tony Freije 11 16:27
53  Jeff Vyain 11 16:33
54  Casey Abston 11 16:34
70  Craig Little 12 16:39
Billy Coale 12 16:52
Kris McAloon 12 16:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.0% 4.2 166 11.5 18.1 17.5 14.2 11.2 9.2 6.2 4.1 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.3 82 30.3 30.4 21.4 13.6 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 27 95.4 4.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 27 95.1 4.8 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 99.0% 33.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 7.7% 79.0%
Tony Freije 99.0% 43.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.0% 54.8%
Jeff Vyain 99.0% 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0% 30.7%
Casey Abston 99.0% 55.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.0% 29.1%
Craig Little 99.0% 64.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 14.9%
Billy Coale 99.0% 87.6 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.9%
Kris McAloon 99.0% 91.6 0.0% 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 100% 10.3 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 6.5 8.7 9.4 8.8 9.1 7.8 7.1 6.4 5.1 4.7 4.1 3.3 2.6 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 100.0%
Tony Freije 100% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 4.6 5.5 6.2 6.3 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.8 4.5 3.8 3.6 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.1 100.0%
Jeff Vyain 100% 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.7 2.0 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.0 4.3 3.3 99.7%
Casey Abston 100% 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.3 2.6 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.5 5.5 4.9 5.3 5.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 3.6 99.7%
Craig Little 100% 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.9 2.6 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.6 4.3 4.7 4.7 5.1 4.5 4.8 4.8 98.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 100% 2.8 0.5 6.8 53.5 22.7 9.7 4.1 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tony Freije 100% 4.1 0.1 1.3 15.8 30.9 22.3 13.3 7.9 4.3 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jeff Vyain 100% 5.7 0.0 0.3 3.6 12.1 19.1 21.7 16.2 11.2 6.1 3.8 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Casey Abston 100% 5.8 0.2 3.5 11.0 18.9 20.9 17.9 11.1 6.4 4.1 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Craig Little 100% 7.2 0.0 0.8 2.7 8.1 14.1 21.1 18.7 11.8 7.6 5.0 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nef Araia 2.7 0.6 6.9 62.6 19.8 6.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Tony Freije 3.8 0.1 1.3 18.9 38.1 21.4 11.4 5.3 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jeff Vyain 5.2 0.0 0.3 4.5 15.7 24.9 25.1 16.1 6.5 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Casey Abston 5.3 0.0 0.2 3.7 14.1 25.3 24.9 17.4 6.7 3.2 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
Craig Little 6.4 0.1 0.9 4.5 11.8 20.3 30.8 13.6 7.3 4.1 3.0 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0